Thursday, September 4, 2014

Thursday, September 4, 2014

Today it’s not a very good day for betting, so be careful with your stakes !

FOOTBALL

WORLD – FRIENDLY INTERNATIONAL  

I don’t recommend to bet on friendlies, because we haven’t got sure informations about the starting line-ups, the motivation of the players is questionable, but today the betting offer on football is not plentiful, so I choosed a few value bets from my point of view :

SLOVAKIA v MALTA      
  •   Correct score 1–0, 2–0 or 3–0  – 2.35 (Bwin)     
CROATIA v CYPRUS     
  •   Correct score 1–0, 2–0 or 3–0  – 2.30 (Bwin)     | ✓
BELGIUM v AUSTRALIA     
  •   Correct score 1–0, 2–0 or 3–0  – 2.75 (Bwin)     | ✓ 

TENNIS - US OPEN – QUARTER FINALS (MEN)

TOMAS BERDYCH v MARIN CILIC      
  • over 3.5 sets – 1.44   

BASKETBALL – FIBA WORLD CUP

Today we have the last matches of the group phase, I choosed to pick the best player of Mexico, because they are in a must-win situation against Korea and I wrote a few rows about the greatest matches of the day…

SOUTH KOREA v MEXICO            
  • Gustavo Ayon over 8.5 rebounds – 1.85   
  • Gustavo Ayon over 16.5 points – 1.85   | Player did not play in this game, void bets...

LITHUANIA SLOVENIA    

In the last match of the group D we have the DERBY of the day: the best team of this group Slovenia will play against Lithuania. Both teams secured their place in the elimination phase. Slovenia has been perfect 4-0 so far, winning all the matches by at least 10 points or more. On the other hand, Lithuania (3-1), surprinsingly lost against Australia, will probably advance from the 2nd spot unless they pull off a victory against Lithuania, which won’t be a big surprise for me, but in this case Lithuania will secure the first place in the group and Slovenia will finish second and Yesterday, Lithuania easily dealt with Korea (79-49), respectively Slovenia overcame Angola (93-87). Lithuania with  Valanciunas(11.0Pts, 8.0Reb), Motiejunas(11.8Pts,5.2Reb),  Seibutis(9.5Pts, 3.2AS), Maciulis(7.8Pts) will face Goran Dragic(18.8Pts,4.0AS), Zoran Dragic(12.8Pts), Lorbek(11.8Pts), Omic(10.2 Pts, 6.2Reb), Balazic(10.2). Slovenia  managed to score over 88 points in every game so far, but today I’m sure they can’t do that. The main weakness of the Lithuanian national team is the point guard position from my point of view, because their star with a great vision, Kalnietis had been injured few days before WC start. Lithuania has a very aggressive defence with huge players under the basket, I think the key of the game for them today will be to annihilate the Dragic brothers, especially Goran, who is one of the best players at this World Cup... I expect a tough battle for the group winning, a game without many points and I hope Lithuania will win this game. My predictions:
  • under 160.5 points – 1.44     | ✓       
  • Maciulis over 8.5 points – 1.85     
ARGENTINA GREECE  
  
In the last match of the group B, the best team of this group Greece will play against the super offensive Argentina. Both teams secured their place in the elimination phase. Greece has been perfect 4-0 so far, winning all the matches by at least 11 points or more. On the other hand, Argentina (3-1) will probably advance from the 2nd spot unless they pull off a victory against Greece, which won’t be a big surprise for me, but in this case Argentina will secure the first place in the group and will probably play against Serbia and Greece will finish second and will play against France in the next phase. Yesterday, Argentina easily dealt with Senegal (81-46), respectively Greece overcame Croatia (76-65), both games were already over at the halftime. Greece with guards like N.Zisis (7.5Pts, 4.5AS), Calathes(9Pts), Papanikolaou(8Pts, 3.2Reb, 2.5AS) and big men’s like Bourousis(11Pts,8.8Reb), Kaimakoglou(11.2Pts, 7.5Reb), Printezis(10.8Pts, 3.5Reb) will face the second scorer of the tournament Luis Scola(22.8Pts, 9.8Reb) covered by Andres Nocioni(10.2 Pts, 5.5Reb), Herrmann(10.5Pts, 5.5Reb), Prigioni(8.8Pts, 5.2AS) and Campazzo(8.5Pts, 5.0AS). Argentina managed to score over 80 points in every game so far, but today I don’t think they can do that. The greek national team has a very aggressive defence with huge players under the basket, I think the key of the game for them today will be to annihilate Scola and to control the tempo of the game... I expect a tough battle for the group winning, a game without many points and I hope the European team will win this game. My predictions:
  • under 159.5 points – 1.44  | ✓ 
  • Scola under  20.5 points – 1.85   | ✓ 
  • Scola under  8.5 rebounds – 1.85   | ✓ 
  • Printezis over 8.5 points – 1.85    | ✓
  • Nocioni over 10.5 points – 1.85   
SPAIN SERBIA 

In the last match of the group phase, the host country Spain will play against Serbia. Both teams secured their place in the elimination phase. Spain has been perfect 4-0 so far, winning all the matches by at least 19 points or more. On the other hand, Serbia (2-2) will probably advance from the 4th spot unless they pull off a stunner against Spain, which is highly hypothetical. The hosts are definitely looking as the favorite to win the first place since they are crushing the competition in the tougher schedule than their main rival, USA. Last night Spain easily dealt with France (88-64), in a game which was already over at the halftime. The Spaniards had a 10-point lead at the halftime and never looked back. Their game is beautiful to watch and the combination of their centers and perimeter players just seems unstoppable. Spain is likely to rotate a bit tomorrow and give its key players some rest before they embark on the harder part of the journey to the title. The opponent, Serbia, will also try to rest some starters since it was a busy schedule in the past couple of days and they don't have the luxury of depth like Spain. Coach Sasa Djordjevic will look to make some adjustments, especially defensively as their defense was poor in matches against France and Brazil. Serbia will advance because they have beaten the two inferior teams, Egypt and Iran. Both sides will be free of any pressure as result won't impact the standings too much.  The game could be like an exhibition game for the fans as it will close the whole group stage, so I expect a lot of points. My predictions for this game are:
  • over 149.5 points – 1.90   | ✓ 
  • over 145.5 points – 1.44    | ✓ 
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