Wednesday, September 10, 2014

Basketball, 10 September, 2014

FIBA WORLD CUP – Quarter-Finals

SERBIA v BRAZIL

In the first match of the day, Serbia will play against Brazil. In Round of 16 game, Serbia detonated the bomb, shook off a disappointing group stage to book their spot in the Quarter-Finals of the 2014 FIBA Basketball World Cup with a hard-fought 90-72 victory over previously undefeated Greece. Bogdan Bogdanovic led the way for the Serbs with 21 points as five players scored in double figures. Miroslav Raduljica added 16, Milos Teodosic had 13, Nikola Kalinic stepped up big with all 12 of his points coming in the first half and Nenad Krstic finished with 10. On the other hand, Brazil beat Argentina at FIBA's flagship event for the first time since 1967 as they knocked off their South American rivals 85-65 to reach the Quarter-Finals of the 2014 FIBA Basketball World Cup. Raulzinho Neto led Brazil with 21 points, Marquinhos Vieira added 13 while the pair of Leandrinho Barbosa and Tiago Splitter each finished with 10. Argentina bowed out despite 18 points from Pablo Prigioni and 11 from Facundo Campazzo. Luis Scola was held to just nine points. The game started as many expected with a showdown of teams that really know one another. The lead was 36-33 for the Brazilians at the break. They picked up their defensive intensity in the third quarter and used a 15-3 run to start stretch their advantage to 48-39. A three-pointer by Marquinhos made it 57-47 and Argentina trailed 57-49 after three quarters. Brazil would not let up and did not allow Argentina to get closer the rest of the game as they scored the first seven points of the fourth quarter. 

Probable line-ups

Serbia : Teodosic (10.8Pts, 4.3AS) – Markovic (4.0Pts, 3.0AS) – Bjelica(11.8Pts, 7.3Reb) – Kalinic(6.8Pts) – Raduljica(14.5Pts, 5.0Reb) 

Brazil : Huertas(7.3Pts, 3.0AS) – Barbosa (13.0Pts) – Garcia (7.7Pts) – Splitter (8.3Pts, 6.2Reb) – Nene(6.8Pts, 4.2Reb) 

Key matchup: Leandro Barbosa vs. Bogdan Bodganovic. These two teams are an interesting match-up for each other. Serbia has an underrated frontcourt that has performed well in this tournament. Brazil is full of NBA big men with Nene, Tiago Splitter, and Anderson Varejao. But what could end up determining who wins this game is whether or not Barbosa (or even Neto or Marcelinho Huertas) can keep up with the scoring of Bogdanovic. Bogdanovic has lit up the competition in most of his team's six games and will either need to be stopped (seems unlikely) or matched. One of the perimeter players from Brazil has to step up in the scoring role.
If we compare these two teams by the group results, Brazil deserve to qualify clearly. If we compare these two teams by the Round of 16 game, we look forward to this match maybe a bit different… Serbia started the game against Greece as obvious underdogs for many basketball fans, but not including me.. I expected a good teamwork from the Serbians, I could imagine a victory, but honestly I could not concept a win with that huge margin.. Brazil is looking confident for this quarter-final after strong performances in group stage and after they demolished their archrival.
Today, I expect a tough battle, both teams are on fire, they will make everything to win, we should see another tight game like Brazil's 81-73 victory over Serbia in group play. It's hard to predict the winner of this game, for me in this match chances are 50-50, I'm going with the underdog here, the pressure will be on South Americans... Handicap on Serbia has value, for the bigger odd I will write a surprise here.. !! We can also try a few bets on players:
  
  • Bjelica over 11.5 points – 2.00   |
  • Raduljica – Points, rebounds & assists : under 20 – 1.85   |
  • Huertas over 7.5 points – 1.85   |
  • Serbia to win – 2.70   |
  • Total points(regular time) : 151–160 – 3.60  |


FRANCE v SPAIN

In the second match of the day, France will play against Spain. Spain is my favourite basketball national team since I was a child and I started to play this beautiful game. I hope they will win this WC, but they have a harder road to the Final, than USA. Usually, I don’t bet on my favourite teams, but my task on this blog is to write previews and to give possibly winner picks, so I will write a few lines..
France finished third in Group A behind Spain and Brazil with a 3-2 record. They earned a Round of 16 match-up with Croatia in the process. Croatia gave them fits in a pretty ugly, low-scoring game too. Neither team shot well from 3-point range and both teams missed one-third of their free throw attempts. France had just enough balance and passing in their attack to lead them to the 69-64 victory over Croatia. Boris Diaw only scored three points but managed five of the team's 15 assists. Nicolas Batum couldn't get going but still finished with 14 points. Thomas Huertel chipped in 10 points and four assists. And Evan Fournier had 13 points, tying his highest output for the tournament.
By doing what they do -- dominating. Spain went unbeaten in the top-heavy Group A and had the second highest point differential of the tournament. That earned them a Round of 16 game against Senegal. While Senegal has been a great story for the tournament, the end of the story came against Spain's incredible basketball machine. They were surgical and unfair in the way they picked apart Senegal's frontcourt. Marc Gasol shut down Gorgui Dieng and the rest was just talent and system winning out. Considering the limited minutes this deep rotation played, the boxscore lines were impressive. Pau Gasol had 17 points on 8-of-10 shooting (both misses coming from 3-point range), five rebounds, and three blocks in 24 minutes. Marc Gasol had nine points, six rebounds, four assists, and four blocks in 25 minutes. Ricky Rubio had seven points, six assists, five rebounds, and five steals in just 20 minutes. Serge Ibaka had 11 points, six rebounds, and three blocks in 17 minutes. Jose Calderon had 11 points in 13 minutes and Felipe Reyes had 11 points in 12 minutes. Spain cruised to the 89-56 victory.

Probable line-ups

France : Heurtel (8.2Pts, 4.2AS) – Batum (10.0Pts, 3.2Reb) – Gelabale(6.7Pts) – Diaw(6.7Pts, 4.0Reb, 4.0AS) – Lauvergne (10.3Pts, 4.5Reb) 

Spain : Rubio (5.7Pts, 4.8AS) – Navarro (10.0Pts, 2.7AS) – Rudy (9.0Pts, 2.5Reb, 2.5AS) – Pau Gasol (20.5Pts, 5.5Reb) – Marc Gasol (11.3Pts, 6.7Reb)

Spain has incredibly good roster, the starters are World Class players, they have great players on the bench too, for example, last year’s Euroleague Sixth Man of the Year, Toronto Raptors all-time leader in assists or Oklahoma City Thunder’s power forward, who was named in NBA All-Defensive First Team last season. leader  In the second match of the day, France will play against Spain. Spain is my favourite basketball national team since I was a child and I started to play this beautiful game. This game will be the battle of the backcourts. Spain's backcourt is beyond deep. They roll out six very capable, NBA-caliber guards with Jose Calderon, Sergio Rodriguez, Ricky Rubio, Juan Carlos Navarro, Rudy Fernandez, and Sergio Llull. France is missing Tony Parker in this tournament and will need even bigger efforts than we've seen out of Antoine Diot and Thomas Huertel. Nicolas Batum will have to join them in being playmakers and scorers, and he'll have to shut down Navarro as much as he can while also helping against the interior. Spain will face a tough match-up here with France, but much like they handled them in the second half of their 88-64 victory in group play, Spain should be able to dominate key stretches of this game. We can try one of these bets :  

  • Lauvergne over 4.5 rebounds – 1.95  
  • Fournier over 7.5 points – 2.00  
  • Serge Ibaka over 6.5 rebounds – 1.85  
  • Rudy Fernandez – Points, rebounds & assists : over 15 – 1.85  
  • Total points (regular time) : 141–150  – 3.40  
  • CRAZY BET, I must agree that is 100% luck, but the odd is good : First point scorer – Pau Gasol – 3.50 (Unibet)  ✖ - He had the opportunity, but he missed his shot !


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