Sunday, September 28, 2014

Sunday, 28 September, 2014

FOOTBALL

over 2.5 goals - TICKET
  • Waalwijk - Achilles 29 : over 2.5 goals - 1.45   |
  • Heerenveen - PSV : over 2.5 goals - 1.50  |
  • Tromso - Ullensaker Kisa : over 2.5 goals - 1.40  
  • Rapid Vienna - Salzburg : over 2.5 goals - 1.50   |
                  Total odd : 4.56  |

FRANCE - LIGUE 1

BORDEAUX v RENNES     
  • Draw/Bordeaux - 4.70   |
LENS v CAEN    
  • Caen over 1.5 - 2.62   
SPAIN - PRIMERA DIVISION

REAL SOCIEDAD v VALENCIA     
  • Draw - 3.30  
ITALY - SERIE A

INTER v CAGLIARI  
  • Osvaldo to score - 2.30   |
ITALY - SERIE B 

CATANIA v PESCARA       
  • Catania (-1) AH - 3.00  Catania won by one goal, stake returned 
PORTUGAL - PRIMEIRA LIGA

MARITIMO v GUIMARAES      
  • Maritimo (-1) AH - 3.80    |
BASEBALL

MLB

NEW YORK METS v HOUSTON ASTROS 
  • Houston Astros to win - 2.35  
MILWAUKEE BREWERS v CHICAGO CUBS  
  • Chicago Cubs to win - 2.45  

Saturday, September 27, 2014

Football, 27 September, 2014

ENGLAND - PREMIER LEAGUE

LIVERPOOL v EVERTON   
  • both teams to score in first half - 3.75  |
  • both teams to score in second half - 2.62  |
MAN UTD v WEST HAM
  • West Ham over 1.5 - 4.00     
ARSENAL v TOTTENHAM
  • Penalty awarded - 3.25    
FRANCE - LIGUE 1 

MONACO v NICE   
  • Dimitar Berbatov to score - 2.50  
LILLE v BASTIA     .
  • both teams to score - 2.38  
GERMANY - BUNDESLIGA 

KOLN v BAYERN MUNCHEN   
  • Bayern(-1,5) AH - 2.10  |
STUTTGART v HANNOVER    
  • Stuttgart over 1.5 - 1.90  
WOLFSBURG v WERDER BREMEN    
  • Werder over 1.5 - 3.25  
SPAIN - PRIMERA DIVISION

ATLETICO MADRID v SEVILLA    
  • both teams to score - 2.10  
ROMANIA - LIGA 1 


GAZ METAN MEDIAS v CEAHLAUL    
  • Gaz Metan over 1.5 - 2.20   |
BOTOSANI v FC BRASOV     
  • Botosani over 1.5 - 2.20  
POLAND - EKSTRAKLASA

LEGIA v LECH POZNAN      

  •   Legia (-1) AH - 2.20  
SWITZERLAND - SUPER LEAGUE

GRASSHOPPERS v AARAU       
  • Aarau over 1.5 -  3.50  

Friday, September 26, 2014

Supercopa ACB, 26 September, 2014

BASKETBALL - SUPERCOPA ACB


REAL MADRID v VALENCIA BASKET  

Real Madrid now know their rivals for the Supercopa Endesa 2014-15, which will be held on 26 and 27 of September in Vitoria. Pablo Laso's men, who are the reigning champions, will meet Valencia tonight in the semifinal at the Fernando Buesa Arena. If they make it through to the final, they will play against the winner of the other semi between Laboral Kutxa and Barcelona the day after.

Last head-2-head official games
Real Madrid – Pamesa Valencia : 105 – 110
Pamesa Valencia – Real Madrid : 75 – 82
Pamesa Valencia – Real Madrid : 88 – 79
Real Madrid – Pamesa Valencia : 87 – 84

Real Madrid this season looks like a very good team. Although  they lost 2 key players : Nikola Mirotic, who went in NBA to Chicago Bulls and Tremmel Darden, who transferred to Olympiakos, they brought very talented and experienced players in this summer transfer period. Newcomers Andres Nocioni(Laboral Kutxa), Jonas Maciulis(Panathinaikos), Gustavo Ayon(Atlanta Hawks), Facundo Campazzo(Penarol), KC Rivers(Reno, D-League) along super players like Rudy Fernandez, Felipe Reyes, Sergio Llull, Sergio Rodriguez, Ioannis Bouroussis… I could mention whole roster… they just look like a dream team.
Sergio Llull and Jonas Maciulis spoke to the media ahead of Real Madrid's Endesa Super Cup semi-final match against Valencia Basket. "The team is really up for it and is looking forward to it, because it's the first trophy of the season and our aim is to win it," the man from Menorca said.
Maciulis: “We have a very good team and the group of players we have is fantastic. I feel really comfortable here. This team has huge challenges ahead of it and we're going to fight for every trophy and championship that we take part in. Real Madrid is one of the major teams in Europe and playing here is a dream for any player."

Preseason results 
Palma Air Europa – Real Madrid : 76 – 82
Real Madrid – Pamesa Valencia : 58 – 80
Unicaja Malaga – Real Madrid : 87 – 83
Real Madrid – Estudiantes : 74 – 76
Cangrejeros de Santurce – Real Madrid : 83 – 103
Guerreros – Real Madrid : 67 – 79

Valencia made a great season last year, but they lost a few important players : Justin Doellman, who transferred to Barcelona, Oliver Lafayette, who transferred to Olympiakos and Ksistof Lavrinovic, but they have a decent roster with players like Luke Harangody, Romain Sato, Kresimir Loncar, Bojan Dubljevic and remain a dangerous team.

Preseason results 
Valencia – Murcia : 80 – 52
Cajasol – Valencia : 89 – 95 OT
Unicaja – Valencia : 63 – 92
Real Madrid – Pamesa Valencia : 58 – 80
Valencia - Nizhny Novgorod : 65 – 77
Valencia – Zaragoza : 80 – 73

My prediction

I see Valencia giving everything to win this game, but will be very difficult for them. I think if they want to have a chance in this game, they must pay more attention for offence than defence.. it’s practically impossible to stop Real’s shooting stars, all they can try to do is outscore Real.. It’s the first official game for both teams, I think that the defences are still not on top, both teams are playing offensively, especially Real and I expect a game with a lot of points, as we saw in their last head-2-head games and in preseason games.   
  • over 160.5 points - 1.90   |


LABORAL KUTXA VITORIA v BARCELONA 

Last head-2-head official games
Laboral Kutxa – Barcelona : 71-95
Barcelona – Laboral Kutxa : 92–87
Barcelona – Laboral Kutxa : 91-75
Barcelona – Laboral Kutxa : 86-97
Laboral Kutxa – Barcelona : 68-80
Laboral Kutxa     Barcelona : 76-72

Laboral has changed almost completely their roster for this season. A lot of players walk away : Lamar Odom(NY Knicks), Nocioni(Real Madrid), David Jelinek(Krasnie Krylia), Giuseppe Poeta (La Bruixa), Tibor Pleiss(Barcelona), Hanga Adam, Leonardo Mainoldi and the enumeration can go on.. Although they have a few interesting players : Heurtel, San Emeterio, Ryan Gomes, Shengelia, Lamont Hamilton, Causeur, Tillie… 

Preseason results
Gipuzkoa Basket 67-52 Laboral Kutxa Vitoria
CAI Zaragoza 64-63 Laboral Kutxa Vitoria
Laboral Kutxa Vitoria 66-69 Fiatc Joventut
Laboral Kutxa Vitoria 73-64 UCAM Murcia
Aguada 77-81 Caja Laboral Baskonia
Peñarol 79-78 Caja Laboral Baskonia

Barcelona is a super team, like every year, they are title contenders in Liga Endesa and in Euroleague too. Important players who left the team : Kostas Papanikolaou(Houston Rockets), Joey Dorsey(Houston Rockets), Victor Sada(Andorra), Jacob Pullen(Liaoning) and Erazem Lorbek. New players on board : Roger Grimau, Tibor Pleiss – who I think will be a very important piece this year –, Tomas Satoransky, Justin Doelmann, Deshaun Thomas, Marcus Eriksson, Milovan Draskovic.    

Preseason results
FC Barcelona 71-65 FIATC Joventut
FC Barcelona 91-85 Baloncesto Seville
Asvel Villeurbanne 80-76 FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona 93-57 Pau-Orthez

My prediction

Laboral changed a lot of players this summer, I don’t think their defence is very homogeneous. Barca will be highly motivated to play&win the final probably against Real Madrid. In the past years, Laboral showed a very offensive playing style and if we look at Laboral Kutxa preseason games we can see that they like to score and that they doesn't show decent defensive play. Barcelona has super shooters, I expect high-scoring game. These two teams played last year in this phase of Supercopa in game ended with 171 points : Laboral Kutxa – Barcelona : 73 – 98.             
  • over 154.5 points - 1.90    |

Friday, September 26, 2014

PORTUGAL - PRIMEIRA LIGA

SPORTING v PORTO  
  • Porto to win by one goal - 4.00  

  • |
  • TURKEY - SUPERLIG

    GALATASARAY v SIVASSPOR  
    • Galatasaray to win & under 2.5 goals - 4.00  |
    MARTINGALE

    Martingale is probably the best known existing gambling and betting system. It is based on raising your stake after every lost bet until the outcome you desire finally takes place. Firstly used in the casinos at roulette, martingale implied doubling your stake when betting on red/black and losing. When you finally won the bet, the total winnings would have exceeded your total losses.
    In order for martingale to be successful, two crucial and impossible events must take place: infinite bankroll and no bookmaker betting limits. Without these factors, martingale will lead you to bankruptcy.

    It`s a dangerous betting system, and even if you apply a derivate with low investment / low stakes progression, you could still head downhill. But, of course, in the end it`s up to each individual to decide if this system could work for him.
    I looked after teams, which hasn't made draw till now in their league. I will try a Martingale system on this blog betting on draws. The stakes will be : 1,2,4,8,16,32,64 units...       France - Ligue 2 is a league, where draw occurence is high : after 8 rounds a single team didn't make a draw : TOURS. I hope they will make a draw in the next 7 games : Sochaux(H), Brest(A), Nimes(H), Chateauroux(A), Laval(A), Auxerre(H), Niort(A)..

    First hand : Tours - Sochaux : X   3.20    1 unit    | Sochaux won, so we continue                                               next week with 2 units

    Unics Kazan - Hapoel Jerusalem, 25 September, 2014

    BASKETBALL - EUROLEAGUE


    UNICS KAZAN v HAPOEL JERUSALEM 
          
    Hapoel Jerusalem - Nymburk : 94 - 84 
    UNICS Kazan - Zielona Gora : 90 - 86 

    Both Hapoel and UNICS had a convincing lead in their respective games but they both allowed their opponents to get back in the game. However, they kept their cool and secured this much expected clash in which both teams see a chance for themselves.
    Yesterday brought expected results and the wins for the favorites. Hapoel had an easy showdown against Nymburk, controlling things right from the start. They were up by 20 at some points during the game. The Czechs did not give up and they got back to -6 (71-77) with five minutes to go but they  never got any closer. Hapoel played a calm end game and brought the game to a close in a routine manner.
    Hapoel got quality reinforcements and arrived to Belgium with a goal of securing the Euroleague. Their players in the paint Jones and Gaffney got a combined total of 29 points and 16 rebounds, while Donta Smith added 14 points… top player was Bracey Wright with 22 points. They have a very good players : Donta Smith, Yaniv Green, Lior Eliahu, Halperin, Kitchen, Wright - all experienced, all played in Euroleague (or NBA) and even won Euroleague. This Hapoel team is one of the strongest teams that Hapoel had in past decade for sure.
    The Russians were huge favorites ahead of their game against Stelmet but the first games of the season can often be tricky. After taking the 46-32 lead at the start of the second half, it seemed that there wouldn`t be a problem. However, Stelmet tied the score at 51-51 and they did not give up when UNICS got a double-digit advantage once again. They even came to -1 on a couple of occasions but the Russians kept their cool and reached their goal.
    Hapoel are much stronger than Zielona Gora, they have more individual quality and will not be so forgiving in terms of defensive mistakes. UNICS did a good job in offense yesterday as Langford and Jerrells took the lead (22 points each) but they need defensive aggression that they based their performances on last year.  Pedoulakis is a typical advocate of Greek basketball and it is certain that 90-86 is not the winning result he wants, especially not after allowing 54 points in the second half. 
    UNICS roster and other stats  http://www.euroleague.net/competition/teams/showteam?clubcode=UNK&gamecode=6&seasoncode=EQR14

    The matchup between Langford and Halperin will surely make sparks fly while Kaimakoglu and Eliyahu will be protagonists of another Euroleague-level duel in the wings. Expect any outcome from this game, because both teams have proved in the past that they are capable of anything. The winner will have a golden chance to be in the next Euroleague regular season. 

    My prediction :

    Yesterday’s matches went over 175 points, and that is the sole reason for this margin. However, both Stelmet and Nymburk are teams that lean more towards offense, play at a fast pace and are responsible for such efficient matches. Both matches also had more than 50 points scored in the last quarter, which I doubt will be the case today.

    Hapoel won the Israeli Super Cup, and stayed below this margin in all three matches they played. Yesterday their coach wasn’t pleased with the way they played defense, nor did UNICS strategist Pedoulakis, and how could he when UNICS allowed 54 points in the second half and turned a won game into a complicated one. Today I expect both sides to play much more cautiously.

    The stakes are huge, as the winner gets a step away from the Euroleague and I don’t expect a mad rush on the court. There is no shortage of offensive potential, but this is still the start of the season and the teams are not fully optimized. Pedoulakis embodies the Greek basketball philosophy, and we all know it’s base. I see this match UNDER, this margin is definitely set too high from my point of view.
    • under 160.5 points - 1.90   |

    Wednesday, September 24, 2014

    Wednesday, September 24, 2014

    Today we have cup matches and a few midweek rounds in big leagues... I think it's complicated to bet on these games, I don't recommend to bet today, but I choosed a few interesting odds for you...   

    ITALY - SERIE A


    JUVENTUS v CESENA      
    • correct score 2 - 0  -- 6.00  
    PARMA v AS ROMA   

    •    AS Roma over 1.5 - 2.10  

    SAMPDDORIA v CHIEVO       


    • Sampdoria (-1) AH - 2.80  | Sampdoria won by one goal, stake returned
    SPAIN - PRIMERA DIVISION

    ALMERIA v ATLETICO MADRID    
    • Atletico to win by one goal - 3.40  
    SEVILLA v REAL SOCIEDAD     
    • over 3.5 goals - 2.85  

    GERMANY - BUNDESLIGA

    DORTMUND v STUTTGART
    • Kagawa to score - 2.87  

    FRANCE - LIGUE 1

    CAEN v PSG
    • Cavani to score - 2.40   
    AUSTRIA - OFB POKAL


    WIENER SC v SALZBURG  


    • over 5.5 goals - 3.80 (Unibet) 
    SLOVENIA - PRVA LIGA



    RUDAR VELENJE v MARIBOR 


    • Maribor (-1) AH - 2.35  | Maribor won by one goal, stake returned 

    TENNIS - ORLEANS(FRANCE) , hard(indoor)

    KOHLSCHREIBER v PUETZ 
    • Puetz to win - 3.00  
    BASKETBALL - EUROLEAGUE 

    UNICS KAZAN v ZIELONA GORA 
    • [over 149.5 points safer bet - 1.90  , but I try a bigger odd too ] 
    • Total points (regular time) : 151 - 160 -- 3.60 (Bwin)  
    LITHUANIA LKL - TICKET
    • Nevezis - Zalgiris Kaunas : over 150.5 points - 1.85    |
    • Juventus - Pieno Zvaigzdes : over 148.5 points - 1.85   |
    • Neptunas - Dzukija : Neptunas -10,5  - 1.85   |
               Total odd : 6.33  |

    TICKET - over 2.5 goals 
    • Celtic - Hearts : over 2.5 goals - 1.45  
    • Olska Brakel - Westerlo : over 2.5 goals - 1.45  
    • Heist - Standard Liege : over 2.5 goals - 1.47   
    • Rayo Vallecano - Bilbao : over 2.5 goals - 1.80  
    • Hertha - Wolfsburg : over 2.5 goals - 1.85  
                Total odd : 10.29