Friday, November 7, 2014

FOOTBALL

I don't recommend to invest high stakes on today's matches, I think it's better to wait Saturday's, Sunday's matches.. I will continue the Martingale system on Tours draw and I will try a mixed ticket... 

MARTINGALE

Martingale is probably the best known existing gambling and betting system. It is based on raising your stake after every lost bet until the outcome you desire finally takes place. Firstly used in the casinos at roulette, martingale implied doubling your stake when betting on red/black and losing. When you finally won the bet, the total winnings would have exceeded your total losses.

In order for martingale to be successful, two crucial and impossible events must take place: infinite bankroll and no bookmaker betting limits. Without these factors, martingale will lead you to bankruptcy.

It`s a dangerous betting system, and even if you apply a derivate with low investment / low stakes progression, you could still head downhill. But, of course, in the end it`s up to each individual to decide if this system could work for him.

I looked after teams, which hasn't made draw till now in their league. I will try a Martingale system on this blog betting on draws. The stakes will be : 1,2,4,8,16,32,64 units...       France - Ligue 2 is a league, where draw occurence is high : after 8 rounds a single team didn't make a draw : TOURS. I hope they will make a draw in the next 10 games : Sochaux(H), Brest(A), Nimes(H), Chateauroux(A), Laval(A), Auxerre(H), Niort(A), GA Ajaccio(H), Clermont (A), Le Havre (H)...

6th hand : Tours - Auxerre : X  3.00   32 units   

AUSTRIA - ERSTE LIGA

LIEFERING v MATTERSBURG 

•  both teams to score in 2nd half - 2.50  | ✓

BELGIUM - PRO LEAGUE

OOSTENDE v WAREGEM 

•  both teams to score in first half - 4.33  | ✓

NETHERLANDS - JUPILIER LEAGUE

ALMERE CITY v DEN BOSCH 

•  both teams to score in 2nd half - 2.50  | ✓

EMMEN v RODA JC 

• both teams to score in 2nd half - 2.50   | ✓

BASKETBALL - EUROLEAGUE 

PANATHINAIKOS v EMPORIO ARMANI MILANO 

The Greek champs host the Italian champs as these teams get together for the second year running. The Greens come off a major win in which they tied a club record with 18 three-pointers made. Shooting guard A.J. Slaughter and former Milan forward Antonis Fotsis led the way for Panathinaikos. EA7 Milan looks to gain momentum after recording its first win on the road. Panathinaikos’s strength has been its mix of powerful interior players – center Esteban Batista and forwards Fotsis and Vlantimir Giankovits – alongside shooter Slaughter and assist king Dimitris Diamantidis, while getting quality contributions from the bench. Milan will look to match up with offensive rebounding machine Samardo Samuels at center and forwards Linas Kleiza and Nicolo Melli at forward. Daniel Hackett runs the attack with Alessandro Gentile and Joe Ragland serving as top offensive threats. The Gentile vs Giankovits matchup could be key to the outcome, though both teams have defensive aces, like James Gist of the Greens and David Moss of Milan, to keep this game close throughout.

Euroleague results :

1. Panathinaikos - Turow : 84 – 77 (42 – 35)

2. Bayern – Panathinaikos : 81 – 75 (32 – 35)
3. Panathinaikos - Fenerbahce : 91 - 73 (59 - 36)

1. Fenerbahce - Armani Milano : 77 – 74 (41 – 43)

2. Armani Milano – Barcelona : 63 – 78 (32 – 45)

3. Bayern – Armani Milano : 74 – 81 (41 – 41)

Last year :

Panathinaikos – Armani Milano : 73 – 57 (38 – 31)

Armani Milano – Panathinaikos : 77 – 75 (41 – 26)

Half-time total points : 76.5 dropping... This margin is the consequence of the last match PAO played in the Euroleague, against Fener, but that is a game one definitely should not abide by. Against Fener PAO managed to score 60 points by halftime in an otherworldly shooting performance where everyone made any shot they took , regardless of the position.

 The second half was more realistic, and is closer to what I expect here. Milano were mentioned and picked several times this season, they’re a team with many physically powerful players, capable of playing excellent defense. They’ve played against offensively stronger teams(Bayern, Barca, Fener) than Panathinaikos. Panathinaikos played incredibly efficient offensively, but I don't think they can repeat that performance today... Emporio is a good team defensively, I expect and underish game : 

• 1st Half total points : under 76.5 points - 1.85  | ✓