Champions League, 5 November, 2014

UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE

Last week was a fantasy Champions League : 59 goals in 16 matches, which give us an average of 3.68 goals, really unbelievable :)... In general, I like betting on goals (overs or both teams to score bets) and on underdogs... Yesterday, the goal feast continued (27 goals in 8 games => average of 3.37 goals), all the same, I don't recommend to bet on overs this week, for example I posted under 3 goals at Real - Liverpool ... Up to know, except 4 games, the favourites won all their matches without problems, so I'm looking onto this evening's matches and I see a lot of small odds on favourites and maybe it will be a good idea to go against them at a few matches... 

BAYERN MUNCHEN v AS ROMA                 1.24  6.19  12.24  

MAN CITY v CSKA MOSCOW                       1.27  6.09  10.21 ( goal scored by CSKA, maybe a draw ?)
AJAX v BARCELONA                                     8.72  5.22  1.34 ( tough game for Barcelona, I think they will win with max 1 goal difference) 
PSG v APOEL                                                1.23  6.17  13.40 ( I don't think PSG will score a lot of goals)  
MARIBOR v CHELSEA                                 10.25  5.29  1.31 ( Motivation on home side, goal scored by Maribor, maybe a draw ? )  
SPORTING LISBON v SCHALKE 04             1.94  3.54  3.91  
ATHLETIC BILBAO v FC PORTO                  2.67  3.26  2.70 
SHAKHTAR DONETSK v BATE BORISOV  1.23  6.27  12.50 ( goal scored by BATE, maybe a draw ?)


Possible lineups
Bayern (4-2-3-1) : Neuer – Lahm, Boateng, Benatia, Bernat – Alaba, Alonso – Robben, Müller, Götze –  Lewandowski.

• Out: Schweinsteiger (patellar tendon), Thiago Alcántara (knee), Badstuber (left thigh), Martínez (knee), Reina(calf) 

Roma (4-4-2) : De Sanctis - Torosidis, Yanga-Mbiwa, Manolas, Holebas - Pjanić, Keita, Naninggolan, De Rossi - Totti, Gervinho.

• Out: Castán (neck), Strootman (knee)

City (4-2-3-1) : Hart - Zabaleta, Kompany, Demichelis, Clichy - Touré, Fernandinho - Navas, Dzeko, Milner - Agüero.

• Out: Kolarov (calf), Lampard

• Doubtful: Mangala 

CSKA(4-5-1) : Akinfeev – Mario Fernandes, V Berezutski, Ignashevich, Schennikov – Tošić, Natcho, Eremenko, Wernbloom, Dzagoev – Musa

• Out: Elm (stomach), Panchenko (knee)

Ajax(4-3-3) : Cillessen – Van Rhijn, Veltman, Moisander, Boilesen – Klaassen, Serero, Riedwald - El Ghazi, Sigthórsson, Schöne

• Out: Fischer (hamstring)

Barcelona(4-3-3) : Ter Stegen; Alves, Mascherano, Piqué, Alba; Busquets, Xavi, Rakitić; Luis Suarez, Messi, Neymar.

• Out: Iniesta (calf), Mathieu (calf), Sergio Roberto (adductor), Vermaelen (match fitness) 

PSG (4-3-3) : Sirigu - Van der Wiel, David Luiz, Thiago Silva, Maxwell - Cabaye, Thiago Motta, Matuidi - Pastore/Lucas, Cavani, Lavezzi

• Out: Ibrahimović (heel), Veratti (adductor)

APOEL(4-2-3-1) : Pardo – Mário Sérgio, Carlão, João Guilherme, Riise – Morais, Efrem - Morais, Vinicius, De Vincenti – Sheridan.

Maribor(4-4-2) : Handanovič – Stojanovič, Rajčevič, Šuler, Viler – Vršič, Mertelj, Filipović, Bohar – Ibraimi, Tavares.
• Out: Mejac (hamstring) 

Chelsea(4-2-3-1) : Čech – Azpilicueta, Zouma, Cahill, Filipe Luis – Matić, Fàbregas – Ramires, Salah, Schurrle – Drogba

• Out: Remy (groin)
• Doubtful: Diego Costa (hamstring)

Sporting (4-3-3) : Rui Patrício – Cédric, Paulo Oliveira, Sarr, Jonathan Silva – William, Adrien,  João Mário – Carrillo, Nani, Slimani.

• Out: Mauricio (suspended)

Schalke(4-2-3-1) : Fährmann – Uchida, Howedes, Neustädter, Aogo – Hoger, Kirchhoff – Choupo-Moting, Boateng/Meyer, Obasi – Huntelaar.

• Out: Draxler (hamstring), Felipe Santana (adductor), Kolašinac (knee), Goretzka (thigh), Farfán (knee), Matip (foot) 

• Doubtful: Sam (thigh), Boateng (ankle) 

Athletic(4-5-1) : Iraizoz – Iraola, Laporte, San Jose, Iturasspe - Mikel Rico, Benat, Muniain, Ibai, Susaeta – Guillermo Fernandez.

• Out: De Marcos (toe)

• Doubtful: Aduriz (hamstring)

Porto (4-3-3) : Fabiano – Danilo, Maicon, Martins Indi, Alex Sandro – Casemiro, Óliver Torres, Herrera – Tello, Brahimi, Jackson.

• Out: Casemiro (ankle)

Shakhtar (4-2-3-1) : Pyatov – Srna, Rakitskiy, Ordets, Schevchuk – Stepanenko, Fernando – Douglas Costa, Alex Teixeira, Taison – Luiz Adriano.

• Out: Kryvtsov (ankle), Kucher

• Doubtful: Azevedo (knee), Ilsinho (illness)

BATE(4-4-2) : Chernik – Khagush, Tubic Polyakov, Mladenović – A Volodko, Karnitski, Likhtarovich, Gordeychuk, Signevich, M.Volodko 

• Out: Filipenko (hamstring) 

BAYERN MUNCHEN v AS ROMA

• under 3 goals - 2.25  | ✓

MAN CITY v CSKA MOSCOW  

• both teams to score in first half - 4.33   | ✓

AJAX v BARCELONA

• under 3 goals - 2.35  | ✓
• van Rhijn to get booked - 3.30 (Unibet)  | ✖

MARIBOR v CHELSEA 

• Draw - 5.75  | ✓

ATHLETIC BILBAO v FC PORTO 

• both teams to score in 2nd half - 3.40  | ✖