Champions League, 4 November, 2014

UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE

Last week was a fantasy Champions League : 59 goals in 16 matches, which give us an average of 3.68 goals, really unbelievable :)... In general, I like betting on goals (overs or both teams to score bets) and on underdogs... I don't know if the goal feast will continue or not, but I don't recommend to bet on overs this week... Up to know, except 3 games, the favourites won all their matches without problems, so I'm looking onto this evening's matches and I see a lot of small odds on favourites and maybe it will be a good idea to go against them at a few matches... 

ZENIT v BAYER LEVERKUSEN  2.24  3.40  3.22 

JUVENTUS v OLYMPIAKOS       1.32  5.05  10.68 ( goal scored by Olympiakos, maybe a draw ?)
MALMO v ATLETICO MADRID    9.51  4.94  1.35 ( tough game for Atletico, I think they will win with max 1 goal difference) 
BASEL v LUDOGORETS             1.80  3.55 4.62 
REAL MADRID v LIVERPOOL     1.23  6.65  12.05 
BENFICA v AS MONACO            1.83  3.40  4.76 
ARSENAL v ANDERLECHT         1.32  5.31  9.51 ( goal scored by Anderlecht, maybe a draw ?)
DORTMUND v GALATASARAY  1.27  6.04  10.50 (goal scored by Galatasaray maybe a draw ?)


Possible lineups

Juventus(3-5-2) : Buffon - Ogbonna, Bonucci, Chiellini - Liechtsteiner, Pogba, Marchisio/Pirlo, Vidal, Asamoah/Padoin - Tévez, Morata/Llorente.

• Out: Barzagli (ankle), Evra(thigh), Caceres(thigh) 

Olympiacos (4-2-3-1) : Roberto - Elabdellaoui, Botía, Abidal, Masuaku - Milivojević, Maniatis - N'Dinga, Kasami, Domínguez/Afellay - Mitroglou.

• Out: Benítez (thigh)

Malmö (4-4-2) : Olsen - Tinnerholm, Johansson, Helander, Ricardinho - Eriksson, Adu, Halsti, Forsberg - Thelin, Rosenberg.

Atlético(4-4-1-1) : Moyà - Juanfran, Miranda, Siqueira - Koke, Gabi, Mario Suárez, Arda - Griezmann - Mandžukić.

• Out : Ansaldi (back)

Basel (4-3-3) : Vaclík - Degen, Suchý, Schär, Safari - Frei, Elneny, Zuffli - Gonzalez, Gashi, Embolo 

• Out: Serey Die (suspended), Streller (back), Ivanov (knee)

• Doubtful: Samuel (knee)

Ludogorets (4-2-3-1) : Stoyanov - Caiçara, Terziev, Moți, Angulo - Dyakov, Espinho, M. Aleksandrov, Marcelinho, Abalo - Bezjak.
• Out : Minev

Real Madrid (4-2-3-1) : Casillas - Arbeloa, Pepe, Ramos, Marcelo - Modrić, Kroos - Isco, James, Ronaldo - Benzema.

• Out: Jesé (knee), Khedira (thigh), Coentrão (knee), Carvajal (hamstring), Illaramendi 

• Doubtful: Bale

Liverpool (4-2-3-1) : Mignolet - Johnson, Škrtel, Lovren, Moreno - Gerrard, Allen - Sterling, Henderson, Coutinho - Balotelli.

• Out: Can (ankle), Flanagan (knee), Sakho (thigh), Enrique (knee)

• Doubtful: Sturridge (calf)

Benfica (4-1-4-1) : Júlio César - Maxi Pereira, Luisão, Jardel, Andre Almeida - Samaris - Salvio, Pérez, Gaitán, Talisca - Lima.

• Out: Lisandro (suspended), Eliseu (foot)

• Doubtful: John (thigh)

Monaco(4-3-3) : Subašić - Fabinho, Elderson, Carvalho, Kurzawa - Toulalan, Moutinho, Kondogbia - Germain, Carrasco, Martial

• Out: Berbatov (groin), Borja López (knee)

Arsenal (4-2-3-1) : Szczęsny - Chambers, Mertesacker, Monreal, Gibbs - Flamini, Arteta - Santi Cazorla, Oxlade-Chamberlain, Sánchez - Welbeck.

• Out: Wilshere (illness), Giroud (ankle), Ozil (knee), Debuchy (ankle), Koscielny (Achilles), Ospina(thigh)

Anderlecht(4-4-2) : Proto - Deschacht, Heylen, Mbemba, Vanden Borre - Praet, Tielemans, Acheampong, Najar - Mitrović, Cyriac

• Out: N'Sakala (knee), Suarez (knee), Defour (calf), Nuytinck (toe)

Dortmund (4-2-3-1) : Weidenfeller - Piszczek, Subotic, Papastathopoulos, Durm - Bender, Gündoğan - Aubameyang, Mkhitaryan, Reus - Immobile.

• Out: Hummels (foot), Nuri Şahin (knee), Sarr (shin), Ji (knee) 

• Doubtful: Schmelzer(match fitness), Kirch(match fitness) 

Galatasaray (4-4-2) : Muslera - Tarik, Semih Kaya, Chedjou, Alex Telles - Felipe Melo, Selçuk, Sneijder, Hamit Altintop - Burak Yilmaz, Umut Bulut

• Out: Aydin Yilmaz (foot) 

• Doubtful: Felipe Melo (thigh)  

SINGLE TIPS

DORTMUND v GALATASARAY

• both teams to score in 2nd half - 3.40  | ✓

BASEL v LUDOGORETS

• To get a Card : Cosmin Moti - 2.55 (Unibet)  | ✖ he left the pitch injured after 20 minutes... 

REAL MADRID v LIVERPOOL

• under 3 goals - 2.42  | ✓

GOALSCORERS - TICKET 1

JUVENTUS v OLYMPIAKOS      

• Carlos Tevez to score - 1.72   | ✖

REAL MADRID v LIVERPOOL     

• Karim Benzema to score - 1.80   | ✓

ARSENAL v ANDERLECHT         

• Alexis Sanchez - 1.80   | ✓

DORTMUND v GALATASARAY  

• Ciro Immobile to score - 1.80  | ✓

Total odd : 10.03  | ✖

GOALSCORERS - TICKET 2

JUVENTUS v OLYMPIAKOS      

• Arturo Vidal to score - 3.20    | ✖ missed a penalty 

REAL MADRID v LIVERPOOL     

• James Rodriguez to score - 2.50  | ✖

DORTMUND v GALATASARAY  

• Burak Yilmaz to score - 4.00  | ✖ played only 5 minutes

Total odd : 32  | ✖