Wednesday, December 31, 2014

End of year, December 31, 2014

My friend finished the photo with our 4th month (november 25 - december 21) stats... I will make a completion : Basketball & Handball category was profitable due to European Women's Championship where we had an average of winner odds : 2.14 and the biggest hit was 4.75..  


I'm a simple young guy, who watches a lot of fooball & basketball matches and occasionally hockey, tennis or handball. I try to write INFOS, IDEAS, TIPS about these games as often as I can, but NONE of them is FIXED, so you decide if you want to play them or not, it's your money in the game... 
I will continue to find interesting FOOTBALL tips with bigger odds (>2.00... >3.00) , over 2.5 tips with odds between 1.40 - 1.90 and BASKETBALL/HANDBALL/TENNIS previews with interesting, valuable tips !    

If you find interesting this blog, please share it and write in comments your opinion !! 

I'll be back on 2nd January with some interesting BASKETBALL previews & tips... but first of all I wish everyone a : 



Sunday, December 21, 2014

Sunday, December 21, 2014

SINGLE TIPS : I recommend to play single tips, because the chance of winning is bigger than if you place ticket bets !! I will do our stats only for single tips, this is a list of matches where I think both teams will score, but for bigger odds you can try both teams to score in first half or both teams to score in 2nd half : 


SPAIN - PRIMERA DIVISION

ELCHE v MALAGA  

  • both teams to score in 2nd half - 4.00  ✖ both teams scored, but not in the same half 

SPAIN - SEGUNDA DIVISION

VALLADOLID v BARCELONA B  

  • both teams to score in first half - 4.33  ✖ 


ITALY - SERIE A

INTER v LAZIO  


  • both teams to score in first half - 4.50  | both teams scored, but not in the same half 


BELGIUM - PRO LEAGUE

LOKEREN v KORTRIJK   


  • both teams to score in first half - 5.00   |


PORTUGAL - PRIMEIRA LIGA

NACIONAL v SPORTING  


  • both teams to score in 2nd half - 3.75   |

I don't recommend to bet on odds under 2.00, but for those who prefers this kind of odds, the offer is decent on over 2.5 goals, I write here a list from where you can choose what you like :  



FIORENTINA v EMPOLI 
  • over 2.5 goals - 1.85  |
EXCELSIOR v AJAX   
  • over 2.5 goals - 1.40  |
NIJMEGEN v MAASTRICHT  
  • over 2.5 goals - 1.44   |
RODA v DEN BOSCH  
  • over 2.5 goals - 1.50   |

    HANDBALL - EUROPEAN WOMEN'S CHAMPIONSHIP



    http://analysedtips.blogspot.ro/2014/12/handball-european-womens-championship.html

    FINAL

    NORWAY v SPAIN 



    When Norway and Spain meet in the final at the Women's EHF EURO 2014, it it will be Spain's second final at an EHF EURO, while it is Norway's ninth overall and their seventh in succession.
    Spain played their only EHF EURO Final to date also against Norway, but is was arguably a one-sided affair at the EHF EURO 2008 with Norway taking a 34:21 win.
    Four of the players in the current Norwegian team were already part of the team back then: Right wing Linn-Kristin Riegelhuth Koren, centre back Karoline Dyhre Breivang, line player Heidi Loke and left wing Camilla Herrem.
    Riegelhuth Koren was also the match's top scorer six years ago in Skopje. She expects a much closer outcome this time.
    "I expect a tough match against a strong Spanish team who have done very well at this championship," she says.
    "However, if we play our usual strong defence and stick close together in defence, I think we are a well on our way.
    "We are a tough group of players, and if we also play as fast and fluent in our attack as we know we can, I think they (Spain) will have trouble keeping up."
    If Norway win the EHF EURO once again, it will not only be the sixth time in 11 European Championships they top the podium.
    It will also mark the tenth gold medal for Norway at a major handball championship, including Olympic Games (2008 and 2012), World Championships (1999 and 2011) and European Championships (1998, 2004, 2006, 2008, 2010).
    Sunday's final will already be the second time at this EHF EURO that Norway and Spain face each other as the two teams also met in the main round.
    In the Fönix Hall in Debrecen Norway beat Spain 29:26 after an extremely well-played and close match.

    Defence will decide

    It is often said that the losing team in such a match has learned its lesson for the next encounter, but Norway's coach Thorir Hergeirsson disagrees. "We will see tomorrow (Sunday) who has learned the most.The final will be an entirely new game with new opportunities, and in that respect the first match does not mean all that much," he says.
    Line player Heidi Loke was also part of the Norwegian team that defeated Spain six years ago. She is in no doubt what will decide the final on Sunday. "It will be tough defensive play and our ability to keep the Spanish players away from breaking through," she says.
    "Now I feel really good. I want to play this final and we are so happy to be here - this is the most important thing for us," said back court player Nerea Pena.
    The Guerreras know it will not be easy to counter the strong Norwegian side, who have confidence and history behind them, but they are ready for the fight.
    "It's the last match, so all our energy will be there. Tomorrow, no excuses. Everything will be there," said Pena.
    The players agree their biggest focus needs to be on controlling their attack, as their defence is strong and they have solid goalkeepers behind them.
    Silvia Navarro and Ana Temprano have both been playing spectacular tournaments, with Navarro as number one keeper on a 38 per cent save rate for the EHF EURO.
    "The problem against Norway is if we lose the ball then they do very fast counterattacks, so we have to try to not lose the ball.
    "They are athletic and physical players. They are very consistent - no ups and downs through the whole championship," said Pinedo.
    The gold medal is the number one goal, but Pena says it also important to her for the team to enjoy the match.
    "I think we should enjoy the match, because this is big for us to be in the final, in this sport hall, in this city. We can't ask for more. Now we have to focus on enjoying the match, try to win and go back with the gold medal," Pena concluded.
    Spain made a great Tournament and it will be fantastic for them to win the final, but I think the favourite Norway will manage this game and take the gold medal after a balanced, fighting encounter. 
    • Norway to win by 1-3 goals - 3.00   |


    3rd place

    MONTENEGRO v SWEDEN 



    No matter whether Sweden or Montenegro win the match for third place in Budapest's Papp Laszlo Sportarena on Sunday, bronze will be a new kind of medal in the winning team's trophy cabinet.
    While Montenegro can complete their collection of all medal colours after having won EHF EURO gold and Olympic silver in 2012, the only medal of for Swedish women's handball dates back four years ago when they won silver at the EHF EURO 2010.
    It has happened in the past that bronze medal matches are emcounters of exhausted and disappointed teams, which simply want to bring the tournament to an end.
    However, there are indicators that things might look different on Sunday.
    Both sides are absolutely eager to win, even though this time, contrary to previous EHF EURO events, the third place does not grant a spot at the upcoming World Championship 2015 in Denmark.
    "If we win this match, bronze will shine like gold for us," says Montenegrin coach Dragan Adzic.
    His Swedish counterpart Helle Thomsen even goes further: "This is a match of life or death."
    Only four days ago, on Wednesday, both teams met in the main round in Zagreb. Montenegro took a hard-fought 30:29 win which eventually saw them topping Group II.
    "We will fight like we did on Wednesday," says Montenegro's star Katarina Bulatovic, who was the key player when her team fought itself back in the Sweden-game after they had been trailing by five goals.
    Montenegro can count again on their defence specialist Suzana Lazovic, who was suspended for the semi-final against Spain (18:19) after she had had received a red card against Sweden.
    The Swedish women lost their semi-final against Norway 25:29, but they are confident that they are strong enough to bounce back. 
    "We played a great tournament despite the fact that the defeat against Norway was a deserved one. Nevertheless a medal would be the icing on the cake for this team," said Sweden's team director Stefan Lövgren, himself a four-time EHF EURO champion.
    Montenegro's goalkeeper Sonja Barjaktarovic vows to make things far from easy for Sweden.
    "Bronze is missing in our cabinet, but on Sunday we will hopefully get it," she says.
    • Montenegro to win by 1-3 goals - 3.20   |

    Friday, December 19, 2014

    Handball, December 19, 2014

    HANDBALL - EUROPEAN WOMEN'S CHAMPIONSHIP



    http://analysedtips.blogspot.ro/2014/12/handball-european-womens-championship.html


    MONTENEGRO - SPAIN (Semi-Final)



    Montenegro will have mixed memories when entering their semi-final against Spain. In the Last 16 of the World Championship 2011 Spain beat them 23:19, while the last two encounters ended with a Montenegrin victory: First at the 2012 Olympic Semi-final (27:26) and then at the EHF EURO 2012 Main Round (27:23).
    For both teams this clash in the Papp Laszlo Sportarena is their second semi-final appearance at Women's EHF EURO level.
    Spain beat Germany in 2008 and eventually won silver; Montenegro defeated Serbia to win the trophy against Norway in 2012.
    The main round at the EHF EURO 2014 was different experience for both teams: Montenegro had arrived with only two points, but they became the only team to win all three encounters in Zagreb and eventually topped Group II.
    Spain arrived in Debrecen with the maximum of four points, but they lost against Norway and Romania and sealed their semi-final spot only with a win against Denmark (29:22) on Wednesday.
    "I clearly would have preferred Denmark", said Montenegrin coach Dragan Adzic: "But we are currently strong enough to be on one level with all opponents, in particular in defence."
    Spain count on their team spirit: "Montenegro is a great team, so we need to improve, but we can manage it with our team spirit," said Spanish wing Carmen Martin.
    Montenegro is a very aggresive, massive, strong team, while Spain is exactly the opposite. They love to play fast, counter-attacks, but I don't know if today will have spaces to play this style. Katarina Bulatovic and Knevezevic played very good at this tournament, while for Spain right Winger Carmen Martin was the best player and she's got really good chances to become the best scorer of the European Championship. I will support Spain in this encounter, but it's very difficult to play against Dragan Adzic's teams and probably Montenegro will win this game, but I don't think there will be more than 3 goals difference... 
    • Montenegro to win by 1-3 goals - 3.10 (Bet365)  |

    NORWAY - SWEDEN (Semi-Final)



    Two vs. nine: The difference in terms of semi-final participations at Women's EHF EURO events could not be bigger between Norway and Sweden.
    Norway were only once not part of an EURO semi-final (in 2000), five times they won the title, eight times they were finalists.
    Sweden have reached their second semi-final after they made it for the first time in 2010, when a win against Romania paved the way to the final where they lost against Norway 20:25.
    After five consecutive wins at the EHF EURO 2014, Norway lost their last main round match against Hungary 25:29.
    However, they were able to save some valuable energy as some key players rested, while Sweden had a true battle to fight against Montenegro on Wednesday which they lost 29:30.
    "This is a really tough task, but we have gained confidence on our way to Budapest," said goalkeeper Filippa Idehn.
    The fact that Norway meet Sweden also means that one Scandinavian team will fight for gold on Sunday. Only the final in 2000, Hungary vs. Ukraine, took place without the participation of either Norway, Sweden or Denmark.
    The fans in the Papp Laszlo Sportarena are likely to see many goals, as both sides count on fast breaks and high speed in attack.
    Ahead of the tournament both teams had arguably not been the red-hot favourites for the semi-finals, but both improved throughout the event.
    "We became better and better, our young player made great steps forward. Now we prepare for Sweden after some of us could rest a bit against Hungary," said line player Heidi Loke.
    Sweden was the pleasantest dark horse in this tournament for me. They played an offensive, spectacular handball led by super-player Isabelle Gullden, but today will play against the best team of Europe from my point of view, Norway. As I noticed above, Norway managed to rest the key players for this match, while Sweden had to fight until last seconds for this Semi-Final spot. Sweden produced a series of surprises as underdogs during this tournament, but I think Norway will play in the Final and let's hope we will see a spectacular game with some goals :
    • Norway to win - 1.60   |
    • over 50.5 - 1.44   |
    • over 51.5 - 1.55   |
    • over 52.5 - 1.67   |
    • over 53.5 - 1.95   |
    • over 54.5 - 2.12   |

    HUNGARY - FRANCE (5th-6th place)



    The wish of Hungary's women's national team to play the EHF EURO 2014 in all three Hungarian venues eventually came true.
    After having played their group phase in Györ and the main round in Debrecen, the team will bid farewell to their fans in Budapest.
    Their hopes - and the expectations - had arguably been higher, but after Hungary had arrived in the main round with only two points on their account, the match for fifth place against France was all that was eventually possible.
    France gave the chance to determine their own fate from their hands when they only drew 24:24 against Germany on Tuesday, but a win against Netherlands on Wednesday saw at least reaching the final weekend.
    The match for fifth place might become significant with regards to the Olympic Qualification Tournaments in 2016, but the exact relevance will only be known after the Women's World Championship 2015 in Denmark.
    As I said from the beginning of the tournament, I'm a Hungary fan, so probably my picks on their matches will be more subjective. After a huge, but not unreal win given the circumstances against the colossal Norway, they will play against France, a team, which I think performed under their value and expectations.. Because there is not a big stake for this game, maybe we can see more goals than usually from this two mainly defensive teams and I hope Hungary will finish the tournament with a nice WIN : 
    • Hungary to win - 2.20  |
    • over 45.5 - 1.42    |
    • over 46.5 - 1.53    |
    • over 47.5 - 1.72    |
    • over 48.5 - 1.98    |
    • over 49.5 - 2.33    |
    • over 50.5 - 2.65    |

    Sunday, December 14, 2014

    Sunday, December 14, 2014

    SINGLE TIPS : I recommend to play single tips, because the chance of winning is bigger than if you place ticket bets !! I will do our stats only for single tips, this is a list of matches where I think both teams will score, but for bigger odds you can try both teams to score in first half or both teams to score in 2nd half : 

    ENGLAND - PREMIER LEAGUE

    MAN UTD v LIVERPOOL 


    • both teams to score in first half - 4.50  ✖ 
    SWANSEA v TOTTENHAM 



    • both teams to score in 2nd half - 3.00   |


    GERMANY - BUNDESLIGA

    BAYER LEVERKUSEN v BORUSSIA MONCHENGLADBACH 


    • both teams to score in first half - 4.33    |
    WOLFSBURG v PADERBORN  


    • both teams to score in 2nd half - 2.75   ✖ both teams score but not in the same half 


    SPAIN - PRIMERA DIVISION

    ATLETICO MADRID v VILLAREAL  

    • both teams to score in 2nd half - 3.75   
    REAL SOCIEDAD v ATHLETIC BILBAO  

    • both teams to score in first half - 5.50    ✖ both teams score but not in the same half 
    • correct score : 1-1  - 6.40  


    ITALY - SERIE A

    PARMA v CAGLIARI  


    • both teams to score in first half - 4.00  
    AC MILAN v NAPOLI  


    • both teams to score in 2nd half - 3.00   


      NETHERLANDS - EREDIVISIE

      PSV v TWENTE


      • both teams to score in first half - 4.00  
      GRONINGEN v VITESSE


      • both teams to score in 2nd half - 2.62  | both teams score but not in the same half 

      BELGIUM - PRO LEAGUE

      STANDARD LIEGE v CLUB BRUGGE   


      • both teams to score in first half - 4.33   |


      PORTUGAL - PRIMEIRA LIGA

      FC PORTO v BENFICA  


      • both teams to score in 2nd half - 3.75  |

      MARTINGALE

      Martingale is probably the best known existing gambling and betting system. It is based on raising your stake after every lost bet until the outcome you desire finally takes place. Firstly used in the casinos at roulette, martingale implied doubling your stake when betting on red/black and losing. When you finally won the bet, the total winnings would have exceeded your total losses.
      In order for martingale to be successful, two crucial and impossible events must take place: infinite bankroll and no bookmaker betting limits. Without these factors, martingale will lead you to bankruptcy.

      It`s a dangerous betting system, and even if you apply a derivate with low investment / low stakes progression, you could still head downhill. But, of course, in the end it`s up to each individual to decide if this system could work for him.
      I looked after teams, which hasn't made draw till now in their league. I will try a Martingale system on this blog betting on draws. The stakes will be : 1,2,4,8,16,32,64, 128, 256, 512 units..Portugal - Primeira Liga is a league where draw occurence is medium : after 11 rounds a single team didn't make a draw : MARITIMO. I hope they will make a draw in the next 10 games : Nacional (A), Estoril(H), Arouca(A), Braga(H), Rio Ave(A), Benfica(H), Porto(H), Academica Coimbra(A), Gil Vicente (H), Penafiel(A)


      2nd hand : Maritimo - Estoril : X   3.20    2 units    |


      I don't recommend to bet on odds under 2.00, but for those who prefers this kind of odds, the offer is decent on over 2.5 goals, I write here a list from where you can choose what you like :  



      WOLFSBURG v PADERBORN  
      • over 2.5 goals - 1.44  |
      SALZBURG v RAPID WIEN   
      • over 2.5 goals - 1.40   |
      DINAMO ZAGREB SLAVEN BELUPO  
      • over 2.5 goals - 1.57   |
      BOLIVAR v WILSTERMANN   
      • over 2.5 goals - 1.57  |
      ANDERLECHT v OOSTENDE  
      • over 2.5 goals - 1.60   |

        HANDBALL - EUROPEAN WOMEN'S CHAMPIONSHIP



        http://analysedtips.blogspot.ro/2014/12/handball-european-womens-championship.html

        MAIN ROUND - GROUP 2

        Each team bring the points earned in the group phase through to the main round, with the exception of those points earned against teams that did not qualify.

        GERMANY v MONTENEGRO 



        In their most recent encounter Montenegro prevailed against Germany at the World Championship 2013 in Serbia (25:24), but at the previous EHF EURO 2012 also in Serbia, Germany became the only team who were able to beat the eventual champions.
        In the main round match in Novi Sad they held down Montenegro 27:20 as Laura Steinbach, who is still with the team two years later, paved the way to her team's victory with seven goals.
        Both teams will try to regroup after they conceded defeats on Friday night and especially Germany will have to find a cure for their less than stable defence they had in the high-scoring loss against Sweden (32:39).
        Team captain and goalkeeper Clara Woltering has far from given up despite the fact that Germany enter the main round on zero points: "We are the German national team and we want to win every game!
        "In the next three games we want to fight and try to play our game as well. We will take the next three games seriously.
        "Whether that is something possible for us, I do not know, but actually everything is possible!"
        Montenegro left back Milena Knezevic also sees a lot of room for improvement for her side.
        "We believe that we can play much better than today (in the match against France on Friday). However, first of all we have to minimise our errors in the next match; I am sure we will do it."
        Montenegro is a very good team, better team than Germany in this moment, but Germany led by Suzann Muller is still a dangerous team, so I expect a narrow Montenegro WIN : 
        • Montenegro to win by 4-6 goals - 3.20 (Bet365)   |

        SWEDEN v FRANCE 



        After dominating Group C in Varazdin Sweden, will take on their nemeses at major events.
        Out of 12 direct encounters with France the 'Tre Kronor' team won four, but their latest victory is rather dusty as it dates back to 1990.
        Since then France have won seven consecutive matches, the last one at the previous continental championship when they defeated Sweden 24:17 in Nis in 2012.
        Mariama Signate and Claudine Mendy, their two best goal scorers from that match are not with the team this time, but France have an abundance of players to rely on - line player Nina Kamto is one of them.
        "The last victory against the defending champions from Montenegro does not change our goals, but it gives us the strength to continue this way.
        "We want to get to the semi-final in this championship and we hope that the main round will be just as good for us," Kamto said.
        Sweden so far have been trying to prove that 'the best defence is the attack'.
        In the previous game against Germany only tenths of a second denied Jamina Roberts' shot to be allowed as the Sweden's 40th goal in the game.
        "That win was really important for us. Otherwise we had to win every match from now on. Of course we want to do that anyway, but it's nice to already have three points," Johanna Ahlm said.
        Sweden is one of the pleasent surprises at this European Championship for me, they are playing an offensive, spectacular handball led by super Gullden(foto), but today will be very complicated against a defence specialist French national team. I will support Sweden in this encounter, but I think France is more stronger, more experienced group and will manage to win this game : 
        • France to win by 1-3 goals - 3.20 (Bet365)  |

        NETHERLANDS v SLOVAKIA 



        Netherlands and Slovakia have never met in competitive matches and Sunday's late evening game in the Arena Zagreb will not be only their first direct encounter.
        It will also be a match-up of the two most surprising teams from Groups C and D.
        While Netherlands suffered just one defeat in a meaningless duel against Croatia on Friday and come the main round with three points they bagged courtesy of a win against Germany and a draw against Sweden, Slovakia sprang the biggest surprise of the EHF EURO 2014 so far when they knocked the runners-up of the World Championship 2013, Serbia, out of the championship.
        The question is whether the charges of Dusan Poloz can build on that achievement and stay focused for the main round.
        The Dutch team impressed in all aspects of the game, starting from excellent goalkeeping to their rock-solid defence and their creative and colourful attacking formations. On top if that, their team spirit is outstanding at this tournament.
        "We are really a team inside and outside of the field. We are always really close together and anybody can see that on the field we play as a team.
        "There is not one player who needs to do one thing. We all are good players and that is our strength," said right back Laura van der Heijden.
        The match will also feature two great 21-year-old goalkeeping talents. While Lucia Gubikova was brilliant against Serbia denying all five penalties Serbia were awarded, Tess Wester acts like a seasoned veteran in the Dutch goal despite her young age.
        She summarised the main round goal for her team very clearly: "Win! For every game the goal is to win!"
        • Netherlands to win by 4-6 goals - 4.75  (Bet365)   |