FOOTBALL I don't recommend to invest high stakes on today's matches, I think it's better to wait Saturday's, Sunday's matches.. I will continue the Martingale system on Tours draw and I will try a mixed ticket... MARTINGALE
Martingale is probably the best known existing gambling and betting system. It is based on raising your stake after every lost bet until the outcome you desire finally takes place. Firstly used in the casinos at roulette, martingale implied doubling your stake when betting on red/black and losing. When you finally won the bet, the total winnings would have exceeded your total losses.
In order for martingale to be successful, two crucial and impossible events must take place: infinite bankroll and no bookmaker betting limits. Without these factors, martingale will lead you to bankruptcy.
It`s a dangerous betting system, and even if you apply a derivate with low investment / low stakes progression, you could still head downhill. But, of course, in the end it`s up to each individual to decide if this system could work for him.
I looked after teams, which hasn't made draw till now in their league. I will try a Martingale system on this blog betting on draws. The stakes will be : 1,2,4,8,16,32,64 units... France - Ligue 2 is a league, where draw occurence is high : after 8 rounds a single team didn't make a draw : TOURS. I hope they will make a draw in the next 7 games : Sochaux(H), Brest(A), Nimes(H), Chateauroux(A), Laval(A), Auxerre(H), Niort(A)..
5th hand : Laval - Tours : X 3.15 16 units | Tours lost again by one goal, so we continue next week with 32 units...
Unfortunately, I don't have time to analyze matches, so I will suggest a mixed ticket with decent odds, from where you can choose what you consider interesting... TICKET FORTUNA SITTARD v EMMEN
We are in the beginning of the season and it's hard to bet right now, but because BASKETBALL it's my favourite sport, I will try to write a few rows about 3 balanced matches... In general, I don't like to bet or to recommend betting on unders, but I see these games as low-scoring ones :
ANADOLU EFES v ZALGIRIS KAUNAS
A pair of Turkish Airlines Euroleague classics meet again
and this time the point guard battle will be more critical than ever. Zalgiris
relies on Vaidas Kariniauskas and Lukas Lekavicius to control the game rhythm
like they did last week against Nizhny Novgorod. It won't be easy against
steals specialist Dontaye Draper, former Zalgiris playmaker Donnie McGrath and
Dogus Balbay. Nenad Krstic, Milko Bjelica and Stephane Lasme must work hard in
the paint against Arturas Gudaitis, Robertas Javtokas, Paulius Jankunas and
Darius Songaila - a great fight of experienced frontcourts. Dario Saric can
make the difference for Efes at power forward due to his size, ball-handling
ability and mobility. Cedi Osman, Matt Janning and Stratos Perperoglou must
step up on defense against do-it-all swingman James Anderson and three-point
threat Arturas Milaknis.
Euroleague results :
EFES – UNICS Kazan : 82 – 76 (45 – 34)
Sassari – EFES : 75 – 82 (40 – 47)
Real Madrid – Zalgiris : 80 – 71 (32-35)
Zalgiris – Novgorod : 97 – 63 (48 – 24)
Last year :
Anadolu Efes – Zalgiris : 72 – 61 (38 – 38)
Zalgiris – Anadolu Efes : 65 – 63 (34 – 36)
As we can see, Anadolu Efes has a good start in Euroleague,
currently ranked first with 2 wins, while Zalgiris has 1 win and 1 lose… Efes
won against Unics and Sassari, but both wins was quite tough and this team,
despite their great roster, didn't proved that they are so strong this season. Zalgiris
lost against Real by 9 points and there looked really great with 2 young point
guards, while in last week they showed fantastic performance against Novgorod
and won by more than 30 points.
"The Zalgiris Kaunas game will be the third game in
six days for us. Our schedule is very tough. After the two games on the road
against Sassari in Euroleague and against Tofaş in Turkish League, we have only
two days for the Zalgiris game. No time to prepare. Zalgiris Kaunas is one of
the very positive teams with many many young talented players like Anadolu
Efes. They played two games in Euroleague, first one in Madrid and they were
very good and ahead in the first half. The second game was against Nizhny
Novgorod which was an easy home victory. We have to be very well-prepared for
the game. Lasme has got a back problem and Saric has a sprained ankle,
definitely the first injuries for us this season. Our medical team is working
hard to make them ready as soon as possible. It is a very tough week." –
Dusko Ivanovic, Efes coach
I think in this game, we have good chances to see less
than 76 points in the first half(1.85). | ✓ Anadolu Efes likes to play very
physical basketball, especially in front of home crowd, Zalgiris will surely
fight until the last seconds in this game. Matches between these teams are often
nervously, low scoring and here I think any team may win this game. As Dusko
Ivanovic said, the team can be tired, because of their crowded program and if
Lasme or Saric won’t play, it will be a difficult game for them… From my point
of view will see a great defensive match, I think the option on under is a good
one and maybe a little surprise on Zalgiris handicap(+7.5) – 1.85 | ✓ can be a good
decision, expect great intensity in a very interesting game! CRVENA ZVEZDA TELEKOM BELGRADE v VALENCIA BASKET
Two teams coming off road losses look to rebound. Despite a
great game from point guard Marcus Williams and solid scoring from Jaka Blazic,
Zvezda lost as it was unable to effectively fee Boban Marjanovic inside.
Valencia enjoyed strong play from its point guard Sam Van Rossom and power
forward Luka Harangody, but poor shooting damned it to a second loss. Williams
and Van Rossom will lock horns in one of this game’s most-important matchups.
Valencia will look to Kreso Loncar and Serhiy Lishchuk to rely on their
experience and find a way to stop Marjanovic. Dwight Buycks provides an offensive
boost for Valencia off the bench; much like counterpart Blazic. The versatile
Luka Mitrovic could play a major role at power forward opposite Harangody in
another intriguing matchup. Zvezda has rebounded much better than Valencia thus
far this season and if it can do so again will have a significant advantage in
this exciting contest.
Euroleague results :
Crvena Zvezda – Galatasaray : 76 – 68 (46 – 30)
Neptunas – Crvena Zvezda : 83 – 81 (47 – 37)
Valencia Basket – Olympiakos : 68 – 71 (36-38)
Galatasaray – Valencia Basket : 71 – 64 (47 – 24)
"It is going to be a difficult game. There is no doubt
about it. Valencia has a great team with many talented players on all
positions. Regardless of their two defeats in the Euroleague, I think they
played very well in both of those games. It is enough to look at their players
to realize this is an excellent team. Since we are playing against such a
strong opponent, we will need all our mental and physical strength for the duel
to get a good result. We will try to play aggressive defense as in the previous
games and to improve our rebounds because that can give us a chance for easy
points in transition." – Charles Jenkins, Zvezda’s guard
I think we have good chances to see a relatively low scoring
first half, no more than 75 points(1.85). | ✓ Crvena Zvezda will play aggressively
in the defense, as they did in their first two Euroleague games. Valencia lost
their first two matches, they had strong opponents like Galatasaray or
Olympiakos, but they didn’t perform badly though. They will be very focused, work
hard defensively, it will be a tight game with a lot of defensive pressure, we'll
see a trepidant game, probably both team will play in slow temp trying to be
wise in the shot selection. PANATHINAIKOS v FENERBAHCE
In no other city will a game be dominated like the return of
Coach Zeljko Obradovic to Athens. The Fenerbahce Ulker head coach is a legend
among Greens fans for the bevvy of titles he led the club to. The Turkish
champs arrive with a perfect record and don’t want to return home without it.
Andrew Goudelock has starred in Fenerbahce’s deep backcourt, but he won’t have
it easy against Panathinaikos legend Dimitris Diamantidis and backcourt mate AJ
Slaughter. Reserves Janis Blums and Nikos Pappas have also played well for the
Greek champs. Ricky Hickman and Bogdan Bogdanovic round out the visiting guard
rotation. Among several must-see matchups in this game is between two high
flyers and former teammates, James Gist and Jan Vesely, at forward. Fener will
turn to Ogus Savas and Semih Erden to limit Esteban Batista in the paint, which
would put a damper on the home team’s attack. Julian Wright could play a key
role off the bench for Panathinaikos, while forward Emir Preldzic and Nemanja
Bjleica possess game-breaking abilities for Fener.
Euroleague results :
Panathinaikos – Turow : 84 – 77 (42 – 35)
Bayern – Panathinaikos : 81 – 75 (32 – 35)
Fenerbahce – AJ Milano : 77 – 74 (41-- 43)
Turow – Fenerbahce : 76 – 91 (40 – 50)
Last year :
Fenerbahce – Panathinaikos : 77 – 72
Panathinaikos – Fenerbahce : 76 – 67
"It is a big game against a very strong team. In my
opinion Fenerbahce Ulker is one of the favorites to qualify to the Final Four.
Also we have to say that a legend for Panathinaikos, Zeljko Obradovic, is
coming to Athens. We will try to do our best, to play smart and to be energetic
in both sites of the court, in order to win this game." - Dusko Ivanovic,
Panata's coach.
Fenerbahce is the favourite of this game from my point of
view, but never underestimate Panata and Greek basketball teams in general, they
can play incredibly well, particularly, at home... Last season, Panata was a
clearly underish team, a lot has changed in Athens, but not the game
philosophy. This will be a tactical war between Ivanovic and Obradovic, and I
think we won’t see a match over 150 points. It’s true that in the first
meetings both of them were at or above this margin, but Turow and Bayern are
exclusively offensively focused teams who like a faster pace and whose defense
is bad. However, both Panathinaikos and Fenerbahce have shown this season that
they can play a very good defense. Panathinaikos are repairing their level of
game in that segment; in three championship matches they received 66, 61 and 58
points, although in the last one they could’ve gone under 50 if it had been
necessary. On the other hand, Fenerbahce have in the championship
against the defensively-focused Turks and Gaziantep played at 134 and 136
points, and we could see something similar today. In any case, this margin is
set too high, under the influence of their first matches, but it were the
opponents who brought them to the big numbers.
Everyone in Athens are aware that Fenerbahce can win only
with a firm and aggressive defense and maximum focus during the entire 40
minutes. They will try to slow down the pace ; as you can see above, last year
these two teams played two matches in the Top 16; in Greece it ended with 143
points and in Turkey with 149. Today I expect an underish game , both teams
throw statements about maximum concentration and a smart game, and I see this
match at 150 points or less(1.90). | ✖
The National Basketball Association (NBA) is the pre-eminent
men's professional basketball league in North America, and is widely considered
to be the premier men's professional basketball league in the world. It has 30
franchised member clubs (29 in the United States and 1 in Canada). The NBA is one of the four major North
American professional sports leagues.
During the regular season, each team plays 82 games, 41 each
home and away. A team faces opponents in its own division four times a year (16
games). Each team plays six of the teams from the other two divisions in its
conference four times (24 games), and the remaining four teams three times (12
games). Finally, each team plays all the teams in the other conference twice
apiece (30 games). This asymmetrical structure means the strength of schedule
will vary between teams (but not as significantly as the NFL or MLB).
Around the middle of April, the regular season ends. It is
during this time that voting begins for individual awards, as well as the
selection of the honorary, league-wide, post-season teams.
The Sixth Man of the
Year Award is given to the best player coming off the bench (must have more
games coming off the bench than actual games started).
The Rookie of the Year
Award is awarded to the most outstanding first-year player.
The Most Improved
Player Award is awarded to the player who is deemed to have shown the most
improvement from the previous season.
The Defensive Player of the Year Award is
awarded to the league's best defender.
The Coach of the Year Award is awarded
to the coach that has made the most positive difference to a team.
The Most
Valuable Player Award is given to the player deemed the most valuable for (his
team) that season.
I will suggest 2(a probable and a long shot) picks for every Award Winner...
Who will win 2014/15 NBA Regular Season MVP Award? Playoffs
not included
Okay, okay. Real original, I know. As you may know, the NBA
MVP is voted on by members of the media. Therefore, winning the award most of
the time comes down to two factors: statistics (on-court production), and
narrative (a storyline that may extend off the court). LeBron will have both.
Without having to mention his incredible consistency over the course of his
career, you can pretty much pencil King James in for 23-plus points, six-plus
rebounds, and six-plus assists per game this season. Couple that with the fact
that he returned home to Cleveland in the offseason, and will likely improve
the team's mark of 33-49 from last season by around 20-or-so games, and he will
walk away with this award with no close second-place finisher... since Kevin
Durant will miss the first month and a half of the season while recovering from
a broken foot.
LeBron James (Cleveland) - 2.00 (Bwin, Unibet, WilliamHill, Sportingbet)
The Los Angeles Clippers should be one of the top teams in
the Western Conference this coming season and whatever success they have will
start with point guard Chris Paul. With the Donald Sterling saga behind this
franchise the team will be able to focus on the task at hand, winning
basketball games, without having the distractions that they faced during the
2014 postseason hanging over their heads. Past season, Paul averaged 19.1 points, 10.7 assists
and 2.5 steals per game. Should those averages improve a little bit and CP3 is
able to stay healthy throughout the regular season while leading the Clippers
to a top three seed in the Western Conference he should be a prime candidate
for the league’s MVP award.
Chris Paul (Los Angeles Clippers) - 17.00(WilliamHill)
Derrick Rose(13.00-Unibet), Russel Westbrook(41.00-Bwin) or Blake Griffin (12.00-Bwin) can be other realistic long-shots...
Who will win 2014/15 NBA Rookie of the Year? Playoffs not
included
This is going to be a good rookie class with Nerlens Noel
added from last season. Jabari Parker is not only good, but he’s going to get every
opportunity and put up some big numbers on a weak team. He is polished scorer and will likely be the go-to guy on a struggling Bucks team. His versatile offensive skill set will be fun to watch and should impress fans and media alike. He’ll be probably compared with
Andrew Wiggins as they were the top two choices, and Wiggins, a raw player, who will get plenty of playing time to showcase his talents in Minnesota. Ricky Rubio passes as well as anyone in the league which will lead to many highlight dunks for the rookie from Kansas. I think it should be a close race, so my picks are :
Andrew Wiggins (Minnesota Timberwolves) - 6.00 (Sportingbet)
Which player will win 2014/15 NBA 6th Man of the Yer Award?
Playoffs not included
Taj Gibson should have won last season and came in a close
second to Jamal Crawford, who was deserving and probably will be again, though
the Clippers may be better if he starts. He’s better than J.J. Redick, so he’s
not really the classic sixth man. Gibson wasn’t supposed to get another chance,
but the Bulls added Pau Gasol, so Gibson remained a non-starter. Phil Jackson
has taken an interest in J.R. Smith, so he should have a bounce back season and
Isaiah Thomas will put up numbers with the Suns, as everyone does. Boris Diaw
also is an interesting possibility. He won’t get the numbers with the Spurs,
but his presence was crucial to winning the title. And now that he’s healthy
Ryan Anderson. So make it Smith second and Anderson third as Crawford already
has won twice.
Taj Gibson (Chicago Bulls) - 5.00 (Unibet)
J.R.Smith (New York Knicks) - 7.50 (Unibet)
Who will win 2014/15 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Playoffs not included
It’s really hard to find someone that’s a more
dominant defender than Ibaka, and I always felt the league robbed him by
handing DPOY to Tyson Chandler back in 2011-2012, even though he couldn’t crack
the All-NBA Defensive 1st team. That
honor went to Serge Ibaka. Never much
made sense to me, so let’s finally see some justice done.
Serge Ibaka (Oklahoma City Thunder) - 7.00 (Bwin, Unibet)
Noah had a great year defensively last year
but the addition of Pau Gasol will hurt his defensive numbers. Davis has been a
great player on a bad team but I think the attention he got from his play for
Team USA this summer will carry over this year.
Anthony Davis (New Orleans Pelicans) - 10.00 (Unibet)
Who will win 2014/15 NBA Coach of the Year? Playoffs not
included
This is a misleading award at times, and the joke among the
coaches is not to get it because there was a run in the early 2000s where maybe
a half dozen coaches were fired within two years of winning. That’s because the
voting often goes not so much to coaching but which team did better than
expected. After all, if the media didn’t expect it, then it must have been
fabulous coaching. Carlisle is one of the more underrated coaches. He did win
in 2002 and soon was fired. He’s the only coach who gets results from playing
zone and is one of the better matchup coaches, good also at adjusting and
changing. I believe several new coaches will do well, though you cannot judge
the big Cleveland experiment with an international coach given the additions of
James and Love. Unless they are bad. Then it’s 20 years before anyone from
Europe gets a job in the NBA. I think Steve Kerr, Derek Fisher and Quin Snyder
all will have their teams more organized and will improve.
Rick Carlisle (Dallas Mavericks) - 15.00(Ladbrokes) / 12.00 (Unibet)
Tom Thibodeau. This is a tough one, but I think the Bulls
have the potential to give the Cavaliers a run for their money in the
East. Pop is the best coach in the
league, but the 2010-2011 Coach of the Year has the potential to finish with
the best record in the regular season this year, and it just so happens that he
won it the same year Derrick Rose won his MVP.
Everything rests on him having his former MVP point guard back healthy,
and that’s a feel-good story I’d like to see.
Tom Thibodeau (Chicago Bulls) - 7.00 (WilliamHill)
Who will win 2014/15 NBA Championship? Playoffs included
I think it's hard to predict, from my point of view every
big team has arguments to win the trophy, the favourites are Cavs and Spurs...
I will choose my favourite teams :
